Let's Play a Game: Tell me why you think Trump is favored in November WITHOUT using polls (user search)
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  Let's Play a Game: Tell me why you think Trump is favored in November WITHOUT using polls (search mode)
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Author Topic: Let's Play a Game: Tell me why you think Trump is favored in November WITHOUT using polls  (Read 1392 times)
Vern
vern1988
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Posts: 2,281
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.30, S: -0.70

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« on: March 15, 2024, 01:58:07 PM »

Because people are struggling to make ends met. And they blame Biden for it. Plain and simple.
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Vern
vern1988
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,281
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.30, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2024, 10:23:47 PM »

Why would we not believe the polls?

You can believe polls. But polls are supposed to reflect shifts and trends that are occurring in the real world.

It’s not that hard given Trump barley lost and since then :

- Inflation is much higher under Biden’s watch then it was under Trump

- Issues like the Border and Crime have gotten way worse since Jan of 2021

- the economy is also no where near as good as democrats like to claim it is . It’s much harder to find a job in tech than it was a few years back for example and the labor participation rate is the lowest it’s been since 1978!

https://money.cnn.com/2013/09/06/news/economy/labor-force-participation/




- The inflation rate was at heights not seen in decades in 2022, yet Rs still put up a pretty subpar performance in the midterms that year. Don't see why that would now move people to Trump when the economy is in much better shape currently.

- Crime is way down nationwide since Jan 2021 and Trump is actively blocking a border bill from being passed.

- The article you posted is from 2013. Also the prime labor participation rate is pretty close to all-time highs. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS11300060

Because people are struggling to make ends met. And they blame Biden for it. Plain and simple.

People are in fact NOT struggling to make ends meet. Unemployment is at record-lows. Wages are up. Stock market is strong. 


I don’t know what Fantasy bubble you’re living in. But you might want to get out of it.
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