MD-SEN 2024: Cardin retiring, Hogan IN

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

One of the best, but 81 seems a reasonable time to retire. Raskin would be my top choice were it not for that criminally stupid Ukraine letter. Sarbanes is probably the safest choice, but the odds are good that a quiet, competent Dem will be elected here.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

That basically seals it. Between his health issues, the recent loss of his son, and the fact that he would have to deal with a bruising primary, I'm not surprised at all.

And honestly, given his Ukraine letter, I'm not too sorry. Alsobrooks will be a fine Senator.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

That basically seals it. Between his health issues, the recent loss of his son, and the fact that he would have to deal with a bruising primary, I'm not surprised at all.

And honestly, given his Ukraine letter, I'm not too sorry. Alsobrooks will be a fine Senator.

David Trone?

He has little chance.

As best I can see, he's seen as a fine representative but just doesn't have any passionate supporters and Alsobrooks is racking up a TON of endorsements fast.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Didn't the last poll show Trone up by 20? I'm expecting it to tighten a lot given Alsobrooks' local support, but Trone has been putting up a much tougher fight than I expected.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Good candidate quality is honestly less important than poor candidate quality. The bigger issue for Hogan is that both Trone and Alsobrooks are fairly close to Generic D in different ways, and neither of them are likely to give him the opening he needs to make up a lot of ground.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Barbara Mikulski endorsed Alsobrooks and appeared at a rally for her last night.

It's really gonna suck if she still ends up losing after all this. It'll just further validate the reality that money can still very much buy political office in America.

Or that Trone is indeed a much stronger candidate

He's impressed me quite a bit with how good a retail politician he is in this race. I'm fairly neutral on this race, maybe lean Alsobrooks, but I think she underestimated how much of a lead Trone was going to build early.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Trone is a stronger candidate because he doesn't publicly support Israel as much as Alsobrooks. Gaza is the number one issue of this election, at least for the youth vote.

They seem exactly the same on Israel to me. Honestly they seem pretty much the same on everything. I'm really not sure who to support here. I don't like people buying seats but the Alsobrooks campaign has been anemic.

Yeah, there is no real daylight between the two of them on the Middle East. The only reason Alsobrooks is being vocal on the issue is because she's assumed to be the "progressive choice" as a younger Black woman and she doesn't want to be.

Also, the idea that this race will be decided by the Gaza-focused youth vote is lol. The people for whom Gaza is their #1 issue don't vote.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Is there a reason the dem establishment is backing Alsobrooks besides “muh white man bad”?

She's a known quantity in Maryland's biggest political machine, while Trone is a self-funding outsider who will only answer to himself once he's in office. It totally makes sense from the state party's perspective.