How possible is this electoral map? (user search)
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  How possible is this electoral map? (search mode)
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Question: How possible is this electoral map next year?
#1
Very possible
 
#2
Somewhat possible
 
#3
Unlikely but possible
 
#4
Not possible at all
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 42

Author Topic: How possible is this electoral map?  (Read 3146 times)
specific_name
generic_name
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,261
United States


« on: August 09, 2011, 04:10:45 PM »

This map is pretty close to what I get whenever I use evc, which is every few days or so... assuming a close pv. Nevada and Florida both have higher unemployment that the national average, so in a close race I would nudge them into the blue. However, I'm starting to think the race won't be close - my gut feeling is that it will be the most decisive result since the 80's. Though at the moment that doesn't seem possible.

As for the lean D Midwestern states going R, and the trending Hispanic/Yankee Southern states going D, I think we're a few years off from that type of flip in a close race. I could envision Obama winning most of his 08 states plus GA in a blowout. Or the reverse, loosing the Midwest entirely along with the South. The demographic flip will probably be pronounced by 2020.
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