UK 2005- Seat by Seat projection Part 1 (North London) (user search)
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  UK 2005- Seat by Seat projection Part 1 (North London) (search mode)
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Author Topic: UK 2005- Seat by Seat projection Part 1 (North London)  (Read 2109 times)
Ben.
Ben
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« on: November 14, 2004, 03:33:07 PM »
« edited: November 15, 2004, 07:42:05 AM by Ben. »



Bethnal Green and Bow (Oona King): Galloway's turning up in this ethnic minority constituency means that this pro-war MP will be in for one rough ride. Expect this to be very nasty. I don't think Galloway can do it, but I could be wrong. LAB Hold.



Some of the folks from Old Queen where saying that Galloway may instead be standing in Poplar and Canning Town... either way i doubt that he'll manage to win either, added to that In Bethnal Green the Tories will take a fair few votes with a well known Bengali candidate.

Brent could be interesting, Teather has entrenched herself well, but in a general election with a much higher turnout and without the protest vote I think that Labour will retake it, and the same will be true of Leicester South where Gill has had a pretty disastrous last few weeks and been an invisible presence in the area while Peter Soulsby (reselected) has already been out campaigning in preparation for the General Election. If Brent goes back to Labour then Leicester most certainly will, Brum HH will also probably see Liam Bryn (who by all accounts has been working his ass off and been being a very diligent and visible constituency MP) returned with a much increased majority with a much larger turnout (say 5-8,000 or so) at any rate the LibDems will be too busy in neighbouring Yardley, and from what I remember of the by-election Nokia Davis was not much liked by the Liberal Associations in the neighbouring areas.

Also, In Islington South Chris Smith is stepping down and the Liberals are very strong in the seat indeed.
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Ben.
Ben
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« Reply #1 on: December 23, 2004, 07:28:42 AM »

Hornsey and Wood Green:  (Barbara Roche)  LAB Hold
 
 
2001
Barbara Roche Labour  49.9% 
Lynne Featherstone Liberal Democrat  25.8%
Jason Hollands Conservative  15.7%


My Cousin live in this district,  I knew it went labor, but it  looks like theres no chance of it switching.  I wonder if the conservatives will even get 20%

Its very possible from the folks I've spoken to that it could go to the LDs, Labour have lots of seats to defend in London and Tory gains in the suburbs are certian, but the LDs will try and hang on in Brent East while moving agaist Hornsey and Islington South, despite a bigger majoirty i think Hornsey will be more likley to go to the LDs.   
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