OR - DHM Research: Kate Brown deeply unpopular (-19)

[smoltchanov]

Why is she so unpopular? She's one of the most progressive Governors in the country, in a pretty blue state.

Not every Democrat is a "firebrand progressive". Plus - for such blue state she always won governorship by relatively small margin, so - personality factor may be in play too. But - Republican party of Oregon (party of Mark Hatfield, and. in the past, of Wayne Morse) moved sharply to the right since about 2000, and, usually, nomunates far-right idiots as it's candidates. That's her best chance...

[smoltchanov]

Probably gonna be another fairly close gubernatorial election in 2022. Has Dem fatigue reached its limits, where every Dem governor is unpopular, but the Dem still wins anyway, or has it reached the point where an R could actually win in a Biden midterm. I mean Brown underperformed the national house vote in 2018, so an R win could definitely happen, but there have just been so many 5ish point Dem wins that maybe that's just where the state is gonna be.

Only a Scott Brown / Charlie Baker / Chris Sununu / Phil Scott kind of person could win here I believe, and even than it's an uphill battle since they won't have universal name recognition or a united GOP since OR does have a strong traditional conservative GOP brand.

Yeah, and the same is true for some other states (Washington, Maryland, and so on). But i fear Trumpist infection went too deep into Republican party body and became incurable..