MS GOV : Hood losing to Reeves 36/48

[smoltchanov]

The poll is only 27% white and 51/28 R/D. It's also 40% seniors. Given that, it's obviously unreliable and too friendly to Reeves.

Yeah, it's probably a bit too friendly to Reeves, now I don't expect a sky high turnout, so seniors representing 40% of electorate is plausible.  

Anyway, even if black voters are a bit undersampled in this poll, it's clear that Reeves has the advantage.

The small one - probably (voting is extremely polarized in Mississippi now). But - no more..

[smoltchanov]

The poll is only 27% white and 51/28 R/D. It's also 40% seniors. Given that, it's obviously unreliable and too friendly to Reeves.

Yeah, it's probably a bit too friendly to Reeves, now I don't expect a sky high turnout, so seniors representing 40% of electorate is plausible.  

Anyway, even if black voters are a bit undersampled in this poll, it's clear that Reeves has the advantage.

The small one - probably (voting is extremely polarized in Mississippi now). But - no more..

But no more ?

No more then small. 5% - i would believe. 12 - not.

[smoltchanov]

Hood wins 50-48

Hood becomes the next MS gov.

Cook has KY as a tossup and MS as likely R

I have both as Lean R