Likelier to Lose: Joni Ernst or John Bel Edwards

[smoltchanov]

Of course - JBE. Louisiana is very conservative, and i don't see any signs of it becoming more liberal. If JBE would have any opponent, but Vitter, in 2015 - he would lose then....

[smoltchanov]

Of course - JBE. Louisiana is very conservative, and i don't see any signs of it becoming more liberal. If JBE would have any opponent, but Vitter, in 2015 - he would lose then....

I just do NOT see Louisianans being that stupid in voting out a popular incumbent Governor with a record budget surplus & millions of Louisianans working, etc.,

He does NOT have magical letter "R" after his name. On the contrary - he has dreaded "D". That may be enough...

[smoltchanov]

Of course - JBE. Louisiana is very conservative, and i don't see any signs of it becoming more liberal. If JBE would have any opponent, but Vitter, in 2015 - he would lose then....

I just do NOT see Louisianans being that stupid in voting out a popular incumbent Governor with a record budget surplus & millions of Louisianans working, etc.,

He does NOT have magical letter "R" after his name. On the contrary - he has dreaded "D". That may be enough...

JBE can say, "I tried to reach out in a bipartisan way, but the obstructionists in the Legislature have been undermining the will of the voters since I've took office. From Medicaid Expansion (which JBE had announced during his January 11th, 2016 inaugural address) to Criminal Justice Reform, etc., the obstructionists have been plotting my political demise for no reason because they didn't get their way in the previous election."

May be... I hope for his win, but still consider race to be 50-50...