Poll: Chances Dems win control of the House in 2018?

[smoltchanov]

10 - minimum. 25 - maximum. Even with idiot Trump in White House...

[smoltchanov]

Things are too gerrymandered for Democrats to win the House.  They were supposed to win the House in 2016?  What do the Democrats think happened to that idea?

Anyone who thought they were going to win it in 2016 was and is on some crack.

Then - a lot of people on different political forums (from DKE to this one) are on some crack

[smoltchanov]

20%, though this is primarily because of the map moreso than the idea that Democrats will struggle in midterms forever. The party of a president with ~40% approvals is not going to have a good midterm, and not that it matters but I'd give the Democrats a greater than 50% chance of winning the popular vote in the House.

With Democrats extremely concentrated in relatively few 75-95% districts, popular vote in the House is of minimal importance, IMHO..

P.S. As last election has shown popular vote becomes useless even in Presidential election too. Distribution of votes is far more important...