2009 State and Federal elections in Germany

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Yeah, they moved, like, 12 constituencies.
,
,

I've not seen it for months

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Yeah well, it was bluer last week. Their projection of overhang mandates also dropped from 16-3 to 12-5.

Do some of them look a little odd to you?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Presumably "candidates" means assuming that high-profile ones will do better than others.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Presumably "candidates" means assuming that high-profile ones will do better than others.

Yes... but how do we rate who is "high profile"? How much do we factor in for that? In what constituencies does "profile" matter at all?

Well, obviously there's no objective way of doing that. Besides, didn't Kohl lose in a direct seat in '98?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Kohl ran in Ludwigshafen, where he was from. IIRC he rarely won it, but certainly did in 1990.

...which says something about placing a large emphasis on high-profile candidates, doesn't it. Random curiosity is curious to learn where other Chancellor candidates ran .

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Random Curiosity is very much pleased with that post

I knew the recent (ie; after 1998) ones, Schumacher and Adenauer and that's it. And lol @ Erhard.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Al-Qaeda's leadership may be hoping to repeat what happened in Spain's elections five years ago when multiple train bombings killed 191 people.

Soon afterwards, the Spanish government of Jose Maria Aznar, that had sent troops to Iraq, was defeated at the polls.

Wasn't Aznar's defeat more related to his attempt to blame ETA for the bombings against all evidence?

This is correct, but certainly isn't how the media in most countries chose to report it. Though, of course, Aznar wasn't actually seeking re-election. Weird election, that.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

So.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

What.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Should we do about results? Last time round we just did all that here, but the forum's changed since then in quite a few ways (more posters for international elections, tendency to spend longer discussing results in the weeks after an election, etc) and doing a results thread's been the norm. And we've just hit 59 pages.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

In case my question was buried by trolling and post-padding;

Are there any blank+editable ward maps of Munich? I'm tempted to do a city map for 2005.

Most maps are editable if you know what you're doing

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Just...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Yeah, makes sense.

Just...

Just what?

The people in the silly costumes next to the CSU poster...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Don't think it's exactly polite to cheer falling turnout. Do so only in private!

[Filuwaúrdjan]

So for those like me who haven't been paying attention lower turnout means... better results for the non-CDU/SDP Parties?

I think it's more a case of the CDU benefiting from lower turnout than the smaller parties - though Lewis Norwegian Coastal Town will know more.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

So for those like me who haven't been paying attention lower turnout means... better results for the non-CDU/SDP Parties?

Lower turnout traditionally benefits CDU because its voters tend to be the most reliable.

Ah. I see.

You know how it is - old people always vote more often.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Temporary locking to prevent duplication - thread will be re-opened in a few hours.

Edit: aaaaaaaaaaaaannnnnnnnnnnnnnnnd open again. But please post results stuff in 'tuther thread.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Then we can say RIP SPD

Perversely this election disaster has probably prevented that. Don't think that anything they might do now* can be much worse than another few years in a Grand Coalition.

*Er... almost anyway. As a supporter of another SI party I'm well aware of how astonishingly stupid the leadership of such parties and of various factions within such parties are capable of being at times...