2011 State Elections in Germany

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Of course it should be possible to work one out from the election.de maps. Just a case of drawing lines in roughly the right place.

In that case, be quick to screenshoot them all. You never know how long they'll keep them up.

As it happens...

edit: and is done. And saved away in two different places. huzzah.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Anyways, I suppose the question is... should I bother doing an FDP map? I also see that the Pirates have adopted orange as their colour, and so orange they shall have to be...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Anyways, I suppose the question is... should I bother doing an FDP map? I also see that the Pirates have adopted orange as their colour, and so orange they shall have to be...

Would an FDP map tell us anything?

I gave this some thought this morning and decided that it almost certainly wouldn't. And I don't want to do an NPD map. Besides, six maps fits very well, so there we are.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Also for the same reason, Klaus Wowereit is not actually elected after narrowly losing his constituency in Wilmersdorf (C-W 5). The SPD is not getting any list seats in that borough.
It doesn't matter though. You can be mayor without being on the council.

WTF
Is that already official?
I already knew that Wowereit lost his constituency.
But not even being a member of the Abgeordnetehaus?
That's harsh...

Well, he gets in if/when one of the four directly elected Social Democrats from Charlottenburg resigns...

The ward he ran in was one of the SPD's worst in West Berlin in 2009, of course.

Anyways, keys and all worked out for the maps.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Their vote in general looks (from the maps) to have been significantly more working class than expected. Meanwhile, the SPD map is (in part) something new; quite different to previous Berlin patterns over the past decade.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Where I'm at so far. Obviously this will take forever and a day, especially with other things to do.

Kind of impressionistic, but that's unavoidable at this scale.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Their vote in general looks (from the maps) to have been significantly more working class than expected.

That's because, while it is mostly something else entirely, there is an element of random protest vote to that map.

Oh, sure. It's not at all surprising in retrospect. It actually makes a lot of sense; it's not as though there were many other options for protest voting in this election.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Anyways, postal precincts in a lot of Berlin don't make much sense, so I'll not continue that project.
Should I post the figures for Mitte (where they do, broadly speaking)?

All figures of interest should be posted.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Yeah, that data is fascinating.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Anyways, I presume that this means that this sort of demographic data has been published somewhere?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I particularly love the huge correlation of Green votes (also, to a lesser extent, Pirate votes) in East Berlin with church membership.
Of course, it's because "church members" in East Berlin is really just a proxy for West Germans.

That may well be my favourite electoral statistic ever.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Well, not quite. Because those figures would still lead to a left-wing majority, it's just that the left-wing government elected as a result would not actually have a majority itself. Not an ideal situation, of course.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

So... an SPD-CDU coalition is likely now? Or some other arrangement?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

lol

In general I think it's fair to say that Berlin politics over the past year or so has been less than entirely edifying.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Is there likely to be a new election in NRW soon?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

It is so popular?

For a news magazine, absolutely.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Minimum wage hasn't really existed as as political issue in Germany until a couple of years ago. For a long time, it was assumed that the agreements between the labour unions and the employers would do the job. Of course, one could say that the unions were also more powerful back then.

This is comparable to the situation in Britain between before the Thatcher government, yeah. Which is why it was the Blair government that actually introduced the thing.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

FDP is now included among "Sonstige" ("others") ...

Who else laughed? I did.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Any interesting details to either story?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Exaggerated emphasis on stability and/or respectability or something like that, presumably. Fears of a repeat of what happened in Hesse a few years ago, which would be irrational, of course. Factional stuff as well? I suppose there might be additional personal issues in Saarland as presumably a lot of Die Linke's politicians will be ex-SPD types who left with Lafontaine.