Rate the chances of a Romney win and the chances of an Obama win in 2012 (user search)
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  Rate the chances of a Romney win and the chances of an Obama win in 2012 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Rate the chances of a Romney win and the chances of an Obama win in 2012  (Read 2025 times)
President von Cat
captain copernicus
Jr. Member
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Posts: 619


« on: October 13, 2011, 02:22:37 AM »

Romney winning the nomination: 99.9/100
Romney winning the presidency: 99.9/100 (1980 again, with Romney crushing Obama unexpectedly after what appeared to be a close race, or 1992 again, with Romney smoothly sailing to victory over the last few weeks)


1980 Redux (Rough sketch with California going to Romney due to depressed Obama turnout from an early call of the election for Romney after numerous closings on the east coast):



1992 Redux (Rough Sketch):



Politico, your repeated and likely deliberate failure to understand the effects of polarization on the electoral college makes it impossible to take your analysis seriously. Romney will never win the west coast, nor will he run the tables in New England, especially Massachusetts.
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