A little quiz: "anti-bellwether" states? (user search)
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  A little quiz: "anti-bellwether" states? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which 3 states/regions chose least often that candidate who eventually became president?
#1
Alabama
#2
Alaska
#3
Arkansas
#4
D.C.
#5
Georgia
#6
Hawaii
#7
Mississippi
#8
South Carolina
#9
South Dakota
#10
Texas
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Author Topic: A little quiz: "anti-bellwether" states?  (Read 5070 times)
Duke David
Atheist2006
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« on: September 22, 2011, 07:44:49 AM »
« edited: October 27, 2011, 10:48:16 AM by Kamelfuß »
The items listed above are the ten most "successful" anti-bellwether states and regions.

Click on those three states/regions whose inhabitants (or state legislature, respectively) voted for the "wrong" candidate most frequently.

PS: What matters is not the popular vote, but the eventually winning candidate.

___________________________________________________________________________________

Answer:

#49 Mississippi (52,2%)
#50 Alabama (51,1%)
#51 D.C.    (41,7%)


Thanks to everyone who cast their vote.
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Duke David
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Posts: 240
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« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2011, 08:02:19 AM »
Quote from: CARLHAYDEN on September 22, 2011, 07:59:39 AM
If you take the Presidential elections from 1964 on, the District of Columbia missed the most.

Alabama, Georgia, Hawaii and Mississippi are tied for second.

Nope. I take all elections since 1789. Cool
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Duke David
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Posts: 240
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« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2011, 08:21:28 AM »
Quote from: CARLHAYDEN on September 22, 2011, 08:15:52 AM
Well, the District of Columbia couldn't participate until 1964, while Hawaii couldn't participate until 1960

Why don't you just click on the right answers? Roll Eyes
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Duke David
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Posts: 240
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« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2011, 08:42:46 AM »
Quote from: CARLHAYDEN on September 22, 2011, 08:35:08 AM
Perhaps you can advise me as to which of the selections you listed is a "region."

There are 9 states and 1 region. But I don't tell you which. Wink
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Duke David
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Posts: 240
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« Reply #4 on: September 22, 2011, 12:35:36 PM »

I'll give you a hint:

At least one of your suggestions is wrong.
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Duke David
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Posts: 240
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« Reply #5 on: September 22, 2011, 12:42:55 PM »
Quote from: Antonio V on September 22, 2011, 12:37:18 PM
I was almost sure of that. Getting all three right is almost impossible.

I know what you mean.

It took me much effort and time to ascertain the truth. Sad
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Duke David
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Posts: 240
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« Reply #6 on: September 22, 2011, 06:33:30 PM »
« Edited: September 22, 2011, 06:38:35 PM by Atheist2006 »
Quote from: Averroës Nix on September 22, 2011, 05:49:19 PM
Is it really that difficult? I didn't check, but I'm willing to guess that DC, HI, and AK are the answers.

At least one answer is correct, Averroës Nix.
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Duke David
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« Reply #7 on: September 22, 2011, 06:35:44 PM »
LOL
The bars are pretty evenly spread.
Seems to be a hard question.
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Duke David
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Posts: 240
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« Reply #8 on: September 23, 2011, 03:21:25 PM »
Quote from: DS0816 on September 23, 2011, 02:47:21 PM
… Alabama, Mississippi, and Vermont.

The Vermonters voted relatively often for the losing candidate, but there are at least 10 states that came off worse.
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Duke David
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Posts: 240
Germany


« Reply #9 on: September 23, 2011, 03:27:23 PM »
Quote from: CARLHAYDEN on September 22, 2011, 08:15:52 AM
Well, the District of Columbia couldn't participate until 1964, while Alaska and Hawaii couldn't participate until 1960.
So, counting elections prior to eligibility really skews results.

I hope you know that my results are based on percentages.
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Duke David
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« Reply #10 on: September 27, 2011, 01:17:35 PM »
Quote from: Thomas D on September 23, 2011, 07:24:44 PM
Alabama, Mississippi and Washington DC.

Who knows? Cool
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Duke David
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Posts: 240
Germany


« Reply #11 on: October 15, 2011, 09:22:37 PM »
I'm going to announce the solution of this quiz in two weeks.

Till then good guessing!
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Duke David
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« Reply #12 on: October 15, 2011, 09:40:31 PM »

Vermont ranks #40 in the bellwether states list.
And btw, it isn't listed above.
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Duke David
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« Reply #13 on: October 15, 2011, 09:54:08 PM »
Quote from: phk on October 15, 2011, 09:43:39 PM
A long time ago I calculated correlation coefficients for how closely correlated the changes in the Democratic % nationwide are correlated to changes in the % Democrat for each state.

[...]

That surely demanded a great deal of you.

Did you use a specific program to compute those coefficients, or did you just use a calculator?
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Duke David
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Posts: 240
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« Reply #14 on: October 27, 2011, 10:54:28 AM »
The voting has closed.

Thanks to everyone who took part in this quiz.
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