MI-10: Target Insyght: Marlinga +4

[Minnesota Mike]

Yeah, sure. Marlinga is totally winning by 4 in a R+9 national environment in a district Biden lost by 1.

R+9 national environment? Cherry pick a poll or did you pull that number out your ***?

[Minnesota Mike]

Yeah, sure. Marlinga is totally winning by 4 in a R+9 national environment in a district Biden lost by 1.

R+9 national environment? Cherry pick a poll or did you pull that number out your ***?

Woah, slow down there bucko! There's no need to get this emotional over a discussion about House elections, of all things. Anyway, Democracy Institute had R+9, and Rasmussen had R+8, and given that polls usually underestimate Republicans, it's a reasonable estimate.

So cherry picking polls then. FWIW the RCP and 538 averages have the GCB at about R+2.

BTW not emotional, just pointing out facts.

[Minnesota Mike]

Yeah, sure. Marlinga is totally winning by 4 in a R+9 national environment in a district Biden lost by 1.

R+9 national environment? Cherry pick a poll or did you pull that number out your ***?

Woah, slow down there bucko! There's no need to get this emotional over a discussion about House elections, of all things. Anyway, Democracy Institute had R+9, and Rasmussen had R+8, and given that polls usually underestimate Republicans, it's a reasonable estimate.

So cherry picking polls then. FWIW the RCP and 538 averages have the GCB at about R+2.

BTW not emotional, just pointing out facts.

In 2010 and 2014, the generic ballot was actually more favorable to Democrats at this point. And we all know what happened after that...

Because every Democratic midterm is guaranteed to be like 2010 and 2014? Lets let the cycle develop before we carve the results in stone.