NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT) (user search)
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  NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT) (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT)  (Read 51020 times)
Minnesota Mike
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« on: February 23, 2020, 12:52:04 PM »
Turnout is awful. Will be lucky to hit 100K. Well below 2008 even with the addition of early voting and high population growth since 2008.  Less than 20% of registered Democrats will participate.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #1 on: February 23, 2020, 01:32:18 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on February 23, 2020, 01:23:25 PM
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on February 23, 2020, 12:52:04 PM
Turnout is awful. Will be lucky to hit 100K. Well below 2008 even with the addition of early voting and high population growth since 2008.  Less than 20% of registered Democrats will participate.

Jon Ralston tweeted this yesterday:


57,619 first alignment votes with 60% in.  Had a 118K in 2008 when there was only about 75% of the registered Democrats there are today.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #2 on: February 23, 2020, 07:37:39 PM »
Buttigieg drop due to his poor performance at the Strip Caucuses that were added.  He only got 6 of 178 Delegates available.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #3 on: February 23, 2020, 07:42:43 PM »
Quote from: Sorenroy on February 23, 2020, 07:38:34 PM


I'm not exactly sure how pledged "Party Leaders and Elected Officials" work when calculating statewide delegates, but I'm assuming they're just part of the regular pool. If not, I'll correct the numbers.

Works out 9-4 either way but the At Large and PLEO pools are calculated separately. Not sure why but that's how they do it.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #4 on: February 23, 2020, 07:54:23 PM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on February 23, 2020, 07:48:31 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 23, 2020, 07:45:03 PM
Interesting, based on Green Papers it looks like Biden isn't that far off from tying Sanders for delegates in NV-04.

And Bernie isn't that far off from getting another PLEO delegate from Biden. There are definitely a number of delegates that can't be called yet.

Biden could also get an AL delegate from Bernie.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #5 on: February 23, 2020, 07:56:34 PM »
We are now at 70,614 first alignment votes with 72% precincts in. Turnout under 100K. Pathetic.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #6 on: February 23, 2020, 08:09:04 PM »
Quote from: dax00 on February 23, 2020, 07:59:11 PM
Pete has no chance at viability statewide. The weight of Clark county far exceeds that of Washoe et cetera. I expect his statewide percentage to drop even further.

76% of Clark in, 66% of Washoe.  Also all Strip caucuses where Pete got destroyed are in. My guess Buttigieg's percentage goes up from here but not sure if he can reach 15%. He does have a shot though.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #7 on: February 23, 2020, 08:29:33 PM »
Quote from: 2016 on February 23, 2020, 08:22:31 PM
Turnout is very bad. Might just hit 100K.

This is not meant as a shot at Sanders but are we really going to put major stock in an event were the winner will get about 35,000 votes. That wouldn't win many state legislative elections.
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