PPP NC: Tied. (user search)
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  PPP NC: Tied. (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP NC: Tied.  (Read 5397 times)
Minnesota Mike
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Posts: 4,178


« on: October 26, 2012, 12:01:57 AM »

No way this can be true, J.J. told me NC was gone for Obama.

It isn't.  D turnout is running well behind 2008.  In theory, Obama could be tied in early voting, but that would be a disaster for him.

Huh?

Democratic turnout at this point in the cycle:

2012- 502,855
2008- 447,956

How does that translate into D turnout running well behind 2008?

http://www.carolinatransparency.com/votetracker/gen2008/custom/2994568007/

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Minnesota Mike
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,178


« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2012, 01:00:38 AM »

No way this can be true, J.J. told me NC was gone for Obama.

It isn't.  D turnout is running well behind 2008.  In theory, Obama could be tied in early voting, but that would be a disaster for him.

Huh?

Democratic turnout at this point in the cycle:

2012- 502,855
2008- 447,956

How does that translate into D turnout running well behind 2008?

http://www.carolinatransparency.com/votetracker/gen2008/custom/2994568007/



This day in 2008:

D  533,384  55.92%
R  259,813  27.24%
U  160,069  16.78%

Yesterday:

D  502,855   50.7%
R  302,684   30.52%
U  184,505   18.6%

D's are down 33,000 while R's are up 43,000.  That is a net loss of 77,000 votes, and this is a period where D's are voting heavier.  


I believe there is a glitch in the Civitas system. Once midnight rolled around their 4 years ago page changed but not their current one. You have to wait until after yesterdays totals are added in the morning to get a true comparison.
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