morgieb
Junior Chimp
Posts: 9,652
Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70
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« on: June 21, 2015, 01:55:00 AM » |
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For either to happen something extremely strange would need to happen.
That said, to knock off Hillary would require a massive scandal on her behalf and a lack of time to find another alternative. In the general he might have a shot if the Republican ran a really dire campaign or was hit by a massive scandal, his floor for obvious reasons is a fair bit higher in the general rather than the primary. B but both options are likely <10% of probability.
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