This is the 2032 map. What happened? (user search)
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June 15, 2024, 10:52:39 PM
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  This is the 2032 map. What happened? (search mode)
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Author Topic: This is the 2032 map. What happened?  (Read 417 times)
°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,281
Uruguay


« on: December 25, 2023, 08:31:53 AM »

Depending on who wins in 2024 this could be a plausible map.
Right now, Democrats may have a slight disadvantage.
If a Democrat is elected in 2028, they may have an advantage in 2032.
My prediction is that 2024, 2028, and  2032 will be be close elections.
The Democrats will have a disadvantage in 2032 if there are no significant shifts in swing states.
Democrats may have an advantage if the GOP becomes less popular.
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,281
Uruguay


« Reply #1 on: December 25, 2023, 08:36:39 AM »
« Edited: December 25, 2023, 08:40:28 AM by °Leprechaun »



Close states: FL (R+6.7), NE01 (R+6.4), TX (R+4.6), KS (R+3.7), PA (R+2.6), AZ (R+2.3), AK (R+1.7), ME02 (R+1.6), NV (R+0.9), MI (R+0.2), NC (D+0.1), WI (D+0.4), NH (D+4.5)
Selected other results: NJ (D+24.5), NY (D+18.7), NE (R+9.7), OR (D+11.0), HI (D+43.7)

Is it possible that the population  projections could be slightly off and this would be a 269-269 tie?

By the way, we will likely see a lot of threads about 2028 before November.
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