NH:Saint Anselm: bolduc +1 (user search)
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  NH:Saint Anselm: bolduc +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH:Saint Anselm: bolduc +1  (Read 4318 times)
Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« on: November 01, 2022, 01:25:59 PM »

They got a really funky sample, Bolduc up with college grads by the same amount as HS or less. In a state as white as NH that is virtually impossible to happen. He also leads with under 50 and moderates while Hassan up 17 with 65+. Unskewing is silly but good polls shouldn't have this much noise.

This sample is 40% liberal, 10% moderate and 49% conservative.

NH should probably be around a 25-40-35 split here.
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Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2022, 01:31:02 PM »

They got a really funky sample, Bolduc up with college grads by the same amount as HS or less. In a state as white as NH that is virtually impossible to happen. He also leads with under 50 and moderates while Hassan up 17 with 65+. Unskewing is silly but good polls shouldn't have this much noise.

They also have NH-01 shifting literally 15% in one month.

55% of the electorate in NH-1 is probably conservative in this sample.
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