WI-03: Kind retiring 🚨🚨🚨 (user search)
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  WI-03: Kind retiring 🚨🚨🚨 (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI-03: Kind retiring 🚨🚨🚨  (Read 4998 times)
Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,090
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« on: August 10, 2021, 02:53:55 PM »

WI Dems should push HARD for a third Dem leaning seat in redistricting. Evers should veto anything else, even a least change map that keeps this seat as Lean R. Let the courts draw the map - it very well may result in 6-2 anyway, but the swing justice is pretty moderate and has taken anti-gerrymandering stances in the past. In the very least it could result in a swing district or two that Dems could flip in a better environment. No point in letting the GOP just draw 6-2 when that’s the worst case scenario in a court battle anyway.

Edit: I completely understand that the current map is largely ungerrymandered // any compact map would likely result in 6-2 due to Dems’ inefficient distribution throughout the state (a few 80-20 D areas and a bunch of 60-40 R areas). I’m just saying there’s no reason for Evers to sign a 6-2 map when a court drawn map would result in the same thing or *maybe* something slightly better, but definitely not something worse. It’s not like Evers will face any political blowback for vetoing an R-drawn map.

The GOP also has to worry about losing the State Supreme Court race in 2023 and risk the court drawing a 4-4 map AND new state legislative boundaries.

If Dems get a third seat it might be more efficient to ask for a Milwaukee area one instead of Madison.
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Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,090
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: August 10, 2021, 10:12:28 PM »

Lean D—->Tilt R. Depends on redistricting. If Sauk, Iowa, Lafayette, Green, and Rock are added and Wood, Chippewa, Pierce, Pepin, Buffalo and Jackson are taken out then it should still be holdable for Dems.



In the real world, that has no shot of passing.

Dems have leverage in redistricting to an extent. But getting a 2nd Milwaukee area seat might be a better play than risking a WI-3 that could trend redder anyway.
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