Devils30
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,090
Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00
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« on: August 27, 2012, 07:02:55 PM » |
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The polling shows both tight with Obama slightly ahead in each. However, I think a lot of people are forgetting that Dems have typically overperformed polling in both.
In 2008 Obama was favored to win by about 5 in NV and won by over 12. Not a single poll had Reid beating Angle prior to 2010 and yet he won re-election by over 5 points.
Obama overperformed his polling in CO in 2008 by about 4 points and Bennet never led either but prevailed on election day. Maybe it's the language barrier with the growing hispanic population that's the problem but there's every reason to believe Obama may in the end prevail in both by rather comfortable margins (5-10)
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