If he isn't convicted before the election, the only chance he gets convicted of anything will be in Georgia. Trump will shutdown all the federal cases against him.
Why are people convinced he won't be convicted in NY? The case isn't as "bad" as the other 3, but it still seems clear cut with the evidence, whether people think it's serious enough or not.
It’s not at all clear cut that payments to a porn star should constitute contributions to your political campaign under the campaign finance laws. There is definitely ambiguity here, and in a criminal trial, ambiguity should almost always be resolved in favor of the defendant.
Based on everything I have heard in NY, I would not convict Trump in that trial, and I am as desperate as anyone to see him convicted of something.
He falsified business records to decieve the public in order to get elected. It definitely ought to be criminal. Unfortunately, to my non-lawyer eyes, it seems like it ought to have been a federal criminal case... which Barr and Trump successfully sabotaged. That makes the NY case a very strange one.
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