Alberta Election 2019 (user search)
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Author Topic: Alberta Election 2019  (Read 28408 times)
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,065
« on: June 03, 2018, 04:09:08 AM »
Re: the Alberta Party - how much space is there really in the "reasonable center" between Rachel Notley and Jason Kenney?  I presume it'll come more from the "PC" side - but I suspect it'll be a pretty small group. 

Unlike in BC (or perhaps in the future Ontario) the NDP may have a decent chance even if the right is united, it's really hard to see the Alberta NDP win against a (more or less) united right.
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,065
« Reply #1 on: April 12, 2019, 03:23:38 PM »
Worst case for the NDP is that Rachel Notley will have succeeded in making Alberta another Saskatchewan politically.
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,065
« Reply #2 on: April 12, 2019, 03:26:52 PM »
Since I don't know where to put non-US Political Geography and Demographics posts...

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=317871.0
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,065
« Reply #3 on: April 18, 2019, 12:42:52 AM »
Quote from: King of Kensington on April 12, 2019, 03:23:38 PM
Worst case for the NDP is that Rachel Notley will have succeeded in making Alberta another Saskatchewan politically.

Heh.
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,065
« Reply #4 on: April 18, 2019, 12:56:24 AM »
The NDP vote compared:

Alberta 2019

Calgary CMA  32.2%
Edmonton CMA  46.8%
Rest of Alberta  20.9%
Alberta total  32.2%

Saskatchewan 2016

Regina  43.1%
Saskatoon  38.1%
Rest of Saskatchewan  22.8%
Saskatchewan total  30.2%

And the UCP/Sask Party vote:

Alberta 2019

Calgary CMA 54.8%
Edmonton CMA  39.7%
Rest of Alberta  67.4%
Alberta total  55.2%

Saskatchewan 2016

Regina  49.3%
Saskatoon  55.5%
Rest of Saskatchewan  70.3%
Saskatchewan total  62.6%
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,065
« Reply #5 on: April 18, 2019, 03:00:38 PM »
Saskatoon = Calgary, Regina = Edmonton?
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,065
« Reply #6 on: April 18, 2019, 04:39:50 PM »
Quote from: Harlow on April 18, 2019, 12:06:55 AM
Quote from: Arkansas Yankee on April 17, 2019, 07:42:10 PM
I wonder if US leftists will learn from their Canadian cousins?  Or will they forge ahead to impose carbon taxes?

lol, the provincial politics of Alberta definitely compares to the US as a whole.

Alberta has the most "American" political culture of any province.
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,065
« Reply #7 on: April 18, 2019, 11:25:17 PM »
In most of Canada strong majorities agree that climate change is caused by human activity but in AB/SK it's around 50% or so I believe.
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,065
« Reply #8 on: April 19, 2019, 12:15:29 PM »
« Edited: April 19, 2019, 02:49:04 PM by King of Kensington »
IIRC in the 2015 election the Conservatives got around 55% of the vote in Calgary and just under 50% in Edmonton.  In other words Calgary voted very similarly to the way it did federally (though with the main center-left competitor being different) while Edmonton is full of "orange Tories."

ETA: Clarification -  I mean the 2015 federal election.
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