What share of the Jewish vote will Trump get? (user search)
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  What share of the Jewish vote will Trump get? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Trump's share of the Jewish vote will be closest to
#1
Romney 2012 (30%)		  
#2
McCain 2008 (22%)		  
#3
Bush II 2004 (24%)		  
#4
Bush II 2000 (19%)		  
#5
Dole 1996 (16%)		  
#6
Bush I 1992 (11%)		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 76

Author Topic: What share of the Jewish vote will Trump get?  (Read 2399 times)
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,071
« on: November 04, 2016, 12:52:48 PM »
Thoughts?  I'm going to say 22%.
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,071
« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2016, 09:19:06 PM »
Quote from: BoAtlantis on November 04, 2016, 09:10:34 PM
I did notice that younger jewish people are going less and less Democrats and bucking the trend.
Younger blacks and Hispanics are less democratic as well.
Otoh, younger whites are going less and less Republican.

Point being, younger people tend to rebel against older generations' thoughts.

The Orthodox population is younger.
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,071
« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2016, 12:55:38 PM »
One would think the alt right support of Trump and anti-Semitic dog whistles would take Trump down to 10% Jewish support.  But it doesn't seem to be moving Orthodox or FSU Jews much.

Still, he's going to be well below Romney, and if Kasich or Rubio were the candidate the Jewish vote for the GOP would likely have been at least 30%.
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,071
« Reply #3 on: November 09, 2016, 04:08:46 AM »
24% (Bush 2004).
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,071
« Reply #4 on: November 15, 2016, 08:58:35 PM »
He didn't do as bad as some expected given that he seemed like a particularly odious Republican candidate for Jewish voters. 
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,071
« Reply #5 on: November 15, 2016, 09:06:15 PM »
24%.
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,071
« Reply #6 on: November 15, 2016, 09:21:22 PM »
1. The Orthodox and Russian share is bigger than 20 years ago

2. The Republicans being the more "pro-Israel" party perception in certain quarters didn't really come into being until after 9/11 (Carter was more of an aberration).   
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