French referendum: exit poll in details

[Bono]

And now the first poll which shows a "no" win

CSA, 16 & 17 march, 802

Do you approve the EU constitution?

yes: 49% (-14)
no: 51% (+14)

abstention, blank,...53% (-6)

Details on http://www.csa-fr.com/dataset/data2005/Les_intentions_de_vote_au_referendum_europeen.pdf


1) It's the panic among "yes" supporters.
2) This poll has a great publicity in France (it opens somes TV news). And I think that the campaign has just started. 
3) Why a surge of the "no"? because of th Bolkestein directive and the social protestation against liberalism. You can indeed observe that the rise of the "yes" is among left voters (59% of socialist are against, before it was 60% of socialists in favor of the constitution.). Too, this poll seems to me a little outlier... but it's the newest. Then...

it's because of the new proposal by the european comission that would allow service providers to aply the labour and other sorts of laws  laws of their country of origin instead of the ones of the country in which they are providing the service, that was seen by unnions as a lopphole to destroy the providence state.

[Bono]

This is making me so happy.

[Bono]

Looking close

and the game is not over. There are still lots of undecideds. But the momentum is clearly for the "no". Yesterday, the Prime Minister began his campaign in favor of the "yes". A good thing for the "no", especially when you know that the "no" is first a "left no", not as in 1992 (Maastricht referendum: 80% of socialists voted "yes"). Yesterday, unemployement has still increased. Thank you Mister Raffarin!

What do you care' Your Belgian?
Is the belgian interest in French politics part of an inferiority complex?

[Bono]

Looking close

and the game is not over. There are still lots of undecideds. But the momentum is clearly for the "no". Yesterday, the Prime Minister began his campaign in favor of the "yes". A good thing for the "no", especially when you know that the "no" is first a "left no", not as in 1992 (Maastricht referendum: 80% of socialists voted "yes"). Yesterday, unemployement has still increased. Thank you Mister Raffarin!

What do you care' Your Belgian?
Is the belgian interest in French politics part of an inferiority complex?

You know, Belgium is a great country on the international scene. Don't you know Louis "Big loulou" Michel, my former foreign minister? a center-right but good guy.

To be serious, I like France as I like USA. Politics in theses countries is very interessant and attractive. And I live in Wallonie, a "French speak" territory, next to France. I read the french newspapers, I watch french TVs,... Wallonie is under the French influence.

Can you speak vlaams?

[Bono]

In Germany there's a massive lead in favor.

To bad they wont have a referendum.

[Bono]

1) Macshane is foolish too. Not a good thing to say that opponents are "neo-cons" (in english: neo-stupid)

2) Bashing a commission president is now a French..."

It's correct but who is responsible? Barroso because he gave only a small job to a french in his commission and he carries out a neoliberal politic, very unpopular in France or Jacques Chirac?

Pollsters say that French are not against Europe, but are against a neoliberal Europe (neoliberalism in France: 4%, like communism!). The EU constitution being liberal, not impossible that they vote against. It's logical in fact...

Lots of foreigners say that the EU constitution is a "French constitution" (because the writer is Former President Giscard D'estaing) but you must know that it's not the case for French people. Not a surprise, when you know the ditch between elites and people.

It is funny, that in france the EU constitution is "neoliberal"(whatever that means), and in the UK the constiution is neo-social democrat.
Just goes to show how different it can be depending on your point of view.
Personally, I don't agree with most arguments made in France against the EU constitution, but as long as it gives the "NO" a win, I don't care.

[Bono]

Aujourd'oui, je suis français.

[Bono]

The Communist and Socialist yes votes are lower than expected, though.

just a little you know...

I wonder what the vote was in orange, provence. Do you have a town by town results site?