Florida 2022 Megathread

[Dereich]

I think she should wait to 2026. Crist is a better candidate for 2022, but neither is likely to win despite DeSantis being a poor governor.

Fried probably figured she was the underdog whether she ran for reelection or for governor, so might as well get more name recognition by running for higher office. Fried is also only 43 years old, so she could definitely run for Governor again in 2026 (or another office) if she loses the primary or general election this time (unlike Crist; this is probably his last chance to be Governor given his age and previous electoral losses).

I'm not sure who I support in this race, I like both Fried and Crist. I'd be happy with either as the nominee. I think it's unlikely to happen, but maybe Crist could choose Fried as his running mate if the primary doesn't get too nasty?

Florida Lt. Governor is a worthless and dead-end position that is normally only taken by State House members who are about to term out and who cannot find a nearby open Senate seat. Even if it looked like Crist would win it'd be such a step down from Ag. Commissioner that I doubt she'd say yes.

[Dereich]

I don’t think anyone here aside from OC thinks DeSantis is gonna lose anyways.

I think it's pretty obvious at this point that Hurricane Ian is helping DeSantis politically. Even Biden praised him for how he responded to the hurricane. The only question now is whether or not DeSantis wins by double digits.

I'm confident that in pure number terms Ian is going to be a net negative for DeSantis. There's zero chance Lee and Collier Counties are back to fully normal turnout by next month and both previously provided fairly hefty vote margins to DeSantis. His handling of the hurricane, at least from what I've seen and heard, hasn't been particularly noteworthy one way or another. I doubt it wins over many people.