🇨🇦 2024 Canadian by-elections

[lilTommy]

Final results

Matt MacFarlane (Green) 1,226 (48.9%) +14.1
Carmen Reeves (PC) 964 (38.5%) -21.7
Gordon Sobey (Liberal) 272 (10.9%)
Karen Morton (NDP) 40 (1.6%) -1.3

Green gain from PC.

Turnout: 58.9% (-9.1)

Congrats to the PEI Greens. I think this makes them tied with the Liberals in terms of seats now - who gets to be the Official Opposition?

It will be up to the Speaker. They could go with the Liberals, since they are the incumbent official opposition, or the Greens, since they got a higher popular vote total in the last election. Or they could have both parties rotate or share the role. I believe there are precedents for any of those options from other jurisdictions.

I hope Rock Paper Scissors occurs.

when there is a tie for election results, do they draw lots? i know in the Yukon in 2021 they drew lots to decide the winner of the Vuntut Gwitchin electorate. It makes more sense for the greens who had the higher vote share to be the opposition, now that they have seats that would entitle them to it.

[lilTommy]

That seat in it’s various incarnations has been NDP since 1965 except for two times it went Tory in 1974 and 2011

a "Blaikie" has held this seat from 1979-2008, then from 2015-now.

Fun fact: Bill Blaikie became the provincial MLA for Elmwood in 2008, while the provincial MLA Jim Maloway was elected the MP for Elmwood-transcona; they just switched seats. In 2011 Maloway lost the Federal seat but was elected again in the provincial seat the same year. He's still the MLA.