Cities vs. rest of county (user search)
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  Cities vs. rest of county (search mode)
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Author Topic: Cities vs. rest of county  (Read 26522 times)
Seattle
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Posts: 786
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« on: November 28, 2020, 12:47:49 PM »

Seattle swung to Biden, along with pretty much every municipality in King thanks to consolidation of the extremely high level of 2016 third party performance (lots of places this was 8-12% of the vote.

It's also clear that there were South Seattle minority-heavy precincts that swung to Trump, sometimes quite dramatically. Precincts that voted 80% + Clinton, with Trump <10% ended up 75-25 at worst, or 80-20/high teens. Also notice how traditionally very democratic SeaTac didn't crack 70% for Biden?

With King county certification this past Tuesday, here's how King County cities voted (Bothell, Pacific, and Auburn results are inclusive of their appendages into Snohomish/Pierce counties):

Basic takeaway is that the Eastside now votes like inner suburbs (quite a few >80% Biden precincts in Shoreline/Lake Forest Park/Redmond(!)/Mercer Island.

City                      Biden                   Trump              Other
Seattle                  88.45                   9.11                2.43
Lake Forest Park    80.59                   16.38               3.02
Shoreline              78.92                   18.30               2.79
Mercer Island        75.89                    21.52              2.49
Redmond              74.84                    21.90              3.27
Kenmore               73.65                   23.25               3.10
Tukwila                 73.09                   24.23               2.68
Issaquah               72.82                   24.33               2.85
Kirkland                72.60                   24.23               3.17
Beaux Art Village    71.78                  24.07               4.15
Burien                   71.98                  25.33                2.69
Bellevue                71.30                   25.81               2.89
Sammamish          70.84                   26.25                2.91 (! Voted for Obama by like 5 in '12)
Yarrow Point          70.69                   26.29                3.02 (! Literally voted for Romney)
Woodinville            70.03                  26.79                 3.17

Newcastle              69.15                  27.71                 3.15
Bothell                  68.86                   27.77                3.37 (King Co portion is >70 Biden)
SeaTac                  69.12                   28.17                2.71
Renton                  68.98                   28.09                2.93
Normandy Park      68.00                   29.50                2.50
Duvall                   67.01                   28.95                4.05 (I think Romney won here too)
Des Moines            67.04                   30.21                2.75
Snoqualmie            65.75                  30.62                 3.62
Medina                  65.52                   31.71                2.77
Kent                      64.50                   32.32                3.18
Clyde Hill               63.73                   33.19                3.08 (Voted for Romney)
Federal Way           63.25                   33.86                2.89
Carnation               62.78                   33.15                4.07
North Bend             62.48                   33.60                3.92
Hunts Point             59.42                   39.29                1.30 (Voted for Romney)
Auburn                   57.90                   39.00                3.10 (Pierce part voted to the left of King)
Maple Valley            56.31                   39.95                3.74 (50/50 in 2012)
Covington               55.98                   40.38                 3.71 (50/50 in 2012)
Algona                    52.65                   45.38                1.97 (This 51-46 Kerry, has barely budged)
Pacific                     50.85                   46.14                3.01

Black Diamond         46.52                  50.54                 2.94
Enumclaw                43.93                  52.76                 3.30

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Seattle
Jr. Member
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Posts: 786
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 28, 2020, 02:37:16 PM »

Skye, that's you! I gave you a follow on Twitter.

khuzifenq, yup, the darkest blue is also the Blackest part of Renton. I am too lazy to do it, but I have a creeping suspicion that the S. Seattle precincts that swung the hardest to Trump are New Holly and the other Hope VI communities down there. Also, Mercer Island has always voted to the left of Bellevue/Redmond. The fact that Redmond (and Sammamish!!!) is that close to MI speaks volumes to the impact of the Desi vote.

Paradoxically, I think Skyway (the bit of unincorporated King between Seattle and Renton - probably has the highest percent Black residents in the state) swung Biden?

I also calculated Snohomish County cities:

City                            Biden                   Trump              Other
Mountlake Terrace       73.00                    23.61              3.39
Edmonds                    71.81                    25.36              2.83 (Welcome to inner Suburbia!)
Brier                           68.69                   28.38              2.92
Lynwood                     67.00                    30.01              2.99
Mukilteo                      65.43                   31.58              2.98
Mill Creek                    63.82                   33.34              2.84 (voted to the left of Everett!!!?!)
Everett                        63.20                   32.93              3.87
Snohomish                  54.62                   41.36               4.02 (a far cry from Obama's 60-40 in '08)     
Lake Stevens               53.55                   42.29               4.16
Monroe                        51.71                   44.23               4.06
Marysville                    50.77                   45.11               4.13 (Trump 16 > Biden 20)

Sultan                          43.96                  49.96               6.08 (Surprisingly poor performance for Trump)
Stanwood                     44.09                  52.44                3.46
Arlington                      43.76                  52.13                4.10 (Obama 08 won here, but its quickly becoming exurban)
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