Does Tim Ryan have a chance to win? (user search)
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  Does Tim Ryan have a chance to win? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Well?
#1
Yes (D/D leaner)
 
#2
Yes (R/R leaner)
 
#3
No (D/D leaner)
 
#4
No (R/R leaner)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 107

Author Topic: Does Tim Ryan have a chance to win?  (Read 2625 times)
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: July 27, 2022, 12:37:32 PM »

Triage Ohio.

The rest are still winnable by Democrats.

The southern half of the state is increasingly being influenced by an expansion of Southern cultural hegemony, yet possesses none of the black population necessary to counter the intensity of that effect. The western portion of the state is influenced by the Midwest, but is also the most GOP-friendly portion of the state [and arguably the entire region] and therefore doesn't enjoy the elasticity of the broader region. The eastern portion of the state is influenced by the Northeast (albeit its more Rust Belt variety), but is the least educated and poorest segment of the state: exactly the types who are flocking to the GOP and who have no regrets about it.

Best for Democrats to triage any races not involving Brown right now and not waste millions (tens of millions?) more once again on a state that's gone!
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: July 28, 2022, 04:51:09 AM »

D's were favored to net gain seats in 2020 we lost seats of course the D priority is WI, PA, AZ, and GA but upsets do happen Hillary was favored to win OH in 2016 and she lost, we haven't had duplicate maps etwo election cycles in a row, but D's have more targets in 22/26 than Rs it's called wave insurance but Brown wasn't at ,50 percent in 2012 he was polling exactly the same against Mandel 46/41 in 2012 and the last poll had Ryan leading 46/41 and Act blue still want us to donate to AZ, PA, GA, WI, OH, NC and FL because it's black and brown vote

Josh Mandel wasn't a Tea Partier he was a Vet that's why Brown was polling under 50 and Obama barely won OH that yr 50/47

Coincidence, D's don't give Johnson an 88 percent chance because like Toomey he has a 36 percent favs Portman has a 40/35 Favs and would have easily won reelection

You are talking nonsense again. Hillary Clinton was not favoured to win Ohio in 2016. In fact, Ohio & Iowa were the most likely flips to Republicans.

Ryan is so out of step with Ohio. Over and over again he supports higher taxes.

In 2006, he voted against making tax cuts permanent. Then in 2011, he voted against reducing payroll taxes and against extending payroll tax cuts. He voted against establishing an income tax deduction of 20 percent for small businesses in 2012, voted against an amendment requiring a congressional approval to establish a carbon tax, against the America Gives More Act extending tax deductions for certain charitable contributions and tax-free distributions from individual retirement accounts for charitable purposes indefinitely, against America's Small Business Tax Relief Act of 2015, against repealing the Death Tax, against the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in 2017, against the Protecting Family and Small Business Tax Cuts Act of 2018 that provides permanent tax cuts to individuals and small-business tax cuts. Last year, he voted to increase the State and Local Tax (SALT) and to raise taxes on 30 % of middle-class families.

Congressman Ryan has never met a tax increase he didn’t like. So here’s what you can expect from Tim Ryan : if he is elected he will fight to raise taxes. That is precisely the last thing we need in such time of inflation.

This really seems like talking points from 2009-2011. Grover Norquist, are you there?
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