USA 2020 Census Results Thread (Release: Today, 26 April)

[Adam Griffin]

NORTH CAROLINA UNDERPERFORMANCE: 10,439,388 (Projected to be 10,576,099)

100k people gone!

I’m calling it. NC will surpass GA in population.

I'm sorry Vern, looks like we both were wrong.

Ohohoho SUCK IT NC

Code:

 
YEAR	 GA	        NC	        DIFF
2010	 9.687	9.535	0.152
2019	 10.617	10.488	0.129
2020	 10.725	10.453	0.272

[Adam Griffin]

Perhaps not yet noted, even though they are the same size and shape and right next to each other, Colorado is officially 10X the population of Wyoming.  They really should just go in and beat them up and take their two senators.

Hell, take UT while they're at it!

[Adam Griffin]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1425877136997502988?s=20

Honestly, I'm not buying it - unless there's some really good evidence to suggest that even post-AVR like 75% of non-voters in the state are non-white.

[Adam Griffin]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1425877136997502988?s=20

Honestly, I'm not buying it - unless there's some really good evidence to suggest that even post-AVR like 75% of non-voters in the state are non-white.

CVAP would be like 56% white, which makes sense with election results.

The 50.1 number still seems like a stretch. Just pulled the SoS registration stats by race: 52.67% of RVs are explicitly non-Hispanic white - with an additional 10.82% classified as "other/unknown". In Georgia, there has been a long trend of many people being captured as "other/unknown" due to a lack of racial responses, and most are in fact part of one of the major racial/ethnic categories.

It's generally safe to proportion these among the other known groups, which in this case would leave us with a 58.36% non-Hispanic white electorate of 7,395,375. That's 69% of the Census population equivalent of 10,711,908.

To get to 50.1% non-Hispanic white, the remaining 31% of the population (the vast majority of whom are children, along with some non-citizens and felons) would have to be 32% non-Hispanic white. If the number was, say, 38%, then I'd buy it. This feels like a big overestimate of non-white people, however.

[Adam Griffin]

Made a simple two-color population growth/loss map (shading at times isn't fun):

Image Link

[Adam Griffin]

Interactive for Census Places, this time with a background map. Alaska is up top due to this.

https://cinycmaps.com/index.php/2-uncategorized/96-2020-census-place-population-change-2010-20

With all the data you've collected thus far, is there anyway to "unify" a national map (i.e. include unincorporated areas' population changes along with the above map)?

[Adam Griffin]

Interactive for Census Places, this time with a background map. Alaska is up top due to this.

https://cinycmaps.com/index.php/2-uncategorized/96-2020-census-place-population-change-2010-20

With all the data you've collected thus far, is there anyway to "unify" a national map (i.e. include unincorporated areas' population changes along with the above map)?

That would involve math to figure out the "balance of" each geo. I'm not sure whether that's even possible. Census didn't provide that data in the release. I'd have to calculate it on my own.

To be clear, I was referring to the unincorporated remainder at the county/parish/borough level (and not each tract, block, etc). Maybe this is what you inferred and maybe it would still be difficult, but I just wanted to clarify. Minus any cities that may cross county borders, I would think this would be relatively simple to calculate.

[Adam Griffin]

Interactive for Census Places, this time with a background map. Alaska is up top due to this.

https://cinycmaps.com/index.php/2-uncategorized/96-2020-census-place-population-change-2010-20

With all the data you've collected thus far, is there anyway to "unify" a national map (i.e. include unincorporated areas' population changes along with the above map)?

That would involve math to figure out the "balance of" each geo. I'm not sure whether that's even possible. Census didn't provide that data in the release. I'd have to calculate it on my own.

To be clear, I was referring to the unincorporated remainder at the county/parish/borough level (and not each tract, block, etc). Maybe this is what you inferred and maybe it would still be difficult, but I just wanted to clarify. Minus any cities that may cross county borders, I would think this would be relatively simple to calculate.

Try this link:
https://cinycmaps.com/index.php/2-uncategorized/98-2020-census-place-with-county-remainder-population-change-map

Let me know if it's too big to work on phones and the like & I'll zoom in as default.

I still need to identify places that have 2020 but no 2010 populations due to GEOID changes.

Awesome!

I have an older, crappy phone at the moment and it's definitely very laggy (takes a couple of seconds to pan each time (starts over AK) and several seconds to register a zoom) but it works. I imagine newer mobile devices will have little to no issue with it.

[Adam Griffin]

Took the data cinyc was kind enough to organize and mapped out the overall change of each county's total unincorporated populations over the past decade.

Obvious caveats apply: some counties/boroughs/parishes have no unincorporated areas (in which case they are simply colored based on total population change), and of course there are likely many places where based on 2010 boundaries alone, the unincorporated segments of a county actually grew in population (but new municipalities were incorporated, existing cities expanded their boundaries, etc, therefore leading to a decrease in population on paper).

Full-sized image