Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
Posts: 20,090
Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26
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« on: May 25, 2020, 06:20:13 AM » |
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Not surprising at all. Anybody who understands trends knows that this is a state that sooner or later will pose problems for Democrats; literally the only reason Clinton won it was because of the DFL's inherent strength organizationally and the fact that right-wing third-party vote share was substantially higher there than nationally. Right now, the suburbs are offsetting rural losses enough to prevent an absolute loss: the question is which geographic grouping will reach its ceiling first? I think rural MN has a lot more room for D loss than suburban MN has for D gain, but the suburbs are growing while rural areas are shrinking, so it's anyone's guess. If we continue on the path we're currently on trend-wise, though, losing MN is a reality that'll happen sooner or later.
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