Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
Posts: 20,092
Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26
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« on: January 19, 2018, 05:52:08 PM » |
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CALLED IT Now I doubt 25% of the electorate will be 70+ in 2018 midterms. There may be a slight biased against McCaskill in this poll.
Honestly, this might be one of the few remaining states where a Democrat like McCaskill's support could be higher among the oldest voters in a D-friendly midterm than it would be among, say, 45-65 year-olds. This certainly wasn't the case in 2012 but in lower-turnout elections where the most motivated show up, that old residual lean from the 2000s among older voters might reappear.
I am hoping so for sure.
McCaskill does have some residual good will from older voters from her time as state auditor. If we could somehow get heavy youth/black turn out and motivated old school Democrats out she could win.
Shy McCaskill voters.. it is probably a thing.. but I think she will fall short.
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