"The most accurate political bellwether in the country" (user search)
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  "The most accurate political bellwether in the country" (search mode)
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Author Topic: "The most accurate political bellwether in the country"  (Read 496 times)
Adam Griffin
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Posts: 20,092
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Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: January 30, 2016, 04:08:59 PM »

Yeah, this has been going around for months. Supposedly, they have a perfect track record of picking the eventual nominees of each party going back to 1975, but when I looked, I could only find examples of their mock poll results published online for 2007 and 2011. I wasn't even able to find that specific claim on WIU's site.

In their defense, I don't think they ever claimed that their electoral projections state-by-state are accurate (I believe those votes are determined based on the student voters' states of origin), but I have had more than one infuriating conversation on social media with Sanders supporters over how there's no way in hell that Sanders wins WY and a dozen other states while losing IL, MD & HI.

At any rate, I think they're going to be wrong this cycle, even if their track record of accuracy goes back as long as some have claimed.
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