TX-28 primary (user search)
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Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who would you vote for / Who will win?
#1
Rodriguez / Rodriguez
 
#2
Rodriguez / Cuellar
 
#3
Cuellar / Rodriguez
 
#4
Cuellar / Cuellar
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 24

Author Topic: TX-28 primary  (Read 20584 times)
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« on: March 05, 2006, 10:57:11 PM »

Ceullar/Rodriguez
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #1 on: March 07, 2006, 08:46:39 PM »

Results are starting to come in:

Rodriguez 48
Cuellar 43
Morales 9









(with 1% of precints reporting)

http://204.65.107.70/dem1race5.htm
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #2 on: March 07, 2006, 08:48:30 PM »

he's more socially liberal than he is economically liberal. I'd have thought that would have pleased you

Since when have libertarian leaning DINOs pleased me? And actually, he's not really libertarian leaning. He has only 16% Progressive Punch on Family planning.

Chet Edwards (who is in a 69% Bush district) is more liberal.

You don't seem to like populists much either

Dave

I just don't like Bush loving DINOs. This bastard endorsed the worst President ever both times.

James Buchanan only ran once Wink
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #3 on: March 07, 2006, 10:34:34 PM »

51% of Precincts Reporting

Rodriguez 56
Cuellar 37
Morales 7

This isn't looking good although I'm not sure which precincts are reporting.
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #4 on: March 07, 2006, 10:37:53 PM »

51% of Precincts Reporting

Rodriguez 56
Cuellar 37
Morales 7

This isn't looking good although I'm not sure which precincts are reporting.

Webb County has still reported nothing.  That's the county to watch for.

Kerry carried it 57-43 which makes me think it would be friendly towards Rodriguez.
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #5 on: March 07, 2006, 10:43:52 PM »

51% of Precincts Reporting

Rodriguez 56
Cuellar 37
Morales 7

This isn't looking good although I'm not sure which precincts are reporting.

Webb County has still reported nothing.  That's the county to watch for.

Kerry carried it 57-43 which makes me think it would be friendly towards Rodriguez.

Webb County (Laredo area) is Cuellar's home base (along with Zapata County).

He pulled 85% of the vote from there in 2004.

Ah, I take that back.  What percent of the district is it?
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #6 on: March 07, 2006, 10:48:02 PM »

51% of Precincts Reporting

Rodriguez 56
Cuellar 37
Morales 7

This isn't looking good although I'm not sure which precincts are reporting.

Webb County has still reported nothing.  That's the county to watch for.

Kerry carried it 57-43 which makes me think it would be friendly towards Rodriguez.

Webb County (Laredo area) is Cuellar's home base (along with Zapata County).

He pulled 85% of the vote from there in 2004.

All being well, he'll get it again. If he holds on, it will be remarkable. He's been heavily targetted, so much so the odds seem stacked against him

Dave

But this was supposed to be "a one day story", and he has the backing of the Club for growth, and of course Republicans. He'd be completely toast if it wasn't for the fact that this is an open primary.

Well if it weren't an open primary, he probably wouldn't have survived the primary the first time.
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #7 on: March 07, 2006, 10:52:28 PM »

58% of precincts reporting:

Rodriguez 57
Cuellar 36
Morales 7

Still nothing from Webb.
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #8 on: March 07, 2006, 11:12:48 PM »

Does anyone have a link to 2004 results?
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #9 on: March 07, 2006, 11:17:31 PM »

In news from other districts, Tom DeLay is projected to win his primary Sad
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #10 on: March 07, 2006, 11:22:47 PM »

Thanks for the link, Sam.
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #11 on: March 07, 2006, 11:23:53 PM »

68% Reporting (no Webb)

Rodriguez 59
Cuellar 34
Morales 7
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #12 on: March 07, 2006, 11:28:39 PM »

If you take out Webb Co. in 2004, Cuellar wins 65-35, however, I suspect Cuellar's numbers there might be a bit down given the fact he's in the U.S. House now and has more of a voting record to defend.
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #13 on: March 07, 2006, 11:57:33 PM »

Dammit you just beat me it to it Sam Wink

That's quite a big change just from early voting.
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #14 on: March 08, 2006, 12:46:47 AM »

Finally, an update:

With 74% of precincts reporting:

Cuellar 48.5
Rodriguez 45.2
Morales 6.3

If neither candidate reaches 50%, it goes to a runoff, right?
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #15 on: March 08, 2006, 01:01:55 AM »

83% Reporting (still 0 from Webb):

Cuellar 48.2
Rodriguez 45.0
Morales 6.8
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #16 on: March 08, 2006, 02:08:55 AM »

Final update before I go to bed:

84% Reporting

Cuellar 47.9%
Rodriguez 45.3%
Morales 6.8%
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #17 on: March 08, 2006, 02:12:39 AM »

Final update before I go to bed:

84% Reporting

Cuellar 47.9%
Rodriguez 45.3%
Morales 6.8%

Damn DINO will probably avoid a runoff.

Looks like you're right, of the 44 precincts left to report, 37 are in Webb or Zapala counties which so far are both over 80% for Cuellar.
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #18 on: March 08, 2006, 02:15:32 AM »

Intersting bit from Ciro.  He's predicting a run-off but his statement almost sounds like a concession:

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/3/8/14550/06793
Logged
nini2287
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,616


Political Matrix
E: 2.77, S: -3.39

« Reply #19 on: March 08, 2006, 12:42:15 PM »

A runoff is avoided.

99% of precincts reporting

Cuellar 52.8%
Rodriguez 40.7%
Morales 6.5%

Good try, Ciro.
Logged
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