WA GOP: SUSA (user search)
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Gustaf
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« on: February 08, 2008, 05:51:55 AM »

I honestly doubt Huckabee is going to do very well. He didn't break 40% even in Alabama.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: February 08, 2008, 06:12:20 AM »

I honestly doubt Huckabee is going to do very well. He didn't break 40% even in Alabama.

Actually, he just barely did.  He got 40.65% there.

Ouch for me...he was below 40% when I went to bed on Tuesday. Smiley

Anyway, the point is that Huckabee has taken control of a small segment of the electorate - the hard-line evangelicals. All exit polls consistently have him doing great in the same sub-samples. Daily church-goers, those who want abortion completely out-lawed and so on. This group is large enough to win him narrow victories in 3-way-races in places like Alabama or Georgia but it has failed miserably at delivering any other states. When you look at how poorly Huckabee has done everywhere outside of Iowa and the South I really doubt he will win much against McCain one-on-one.
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