Trump approval ratings thread 1.6 (user search)
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  Trump approval ratings thread 1.6 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Trump approval ratings thread 1.6  (Read 171966 times)
Gustaf
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Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« on: November 18, 2019, 01:09:39 PM »

Pennsylvania at 40-56 and Georgia at 45-54? The difference suggests that the two polls are in line with the states' usual differences in orientation.

Georgia used to be polled often, and the AJC poll fits what I used to see much of. Trump cannot take Georgia for granted. It could be that Greater Atlanta is becoming the "Los Angeles of the South" in its politics. It is the growth area of Georgia, with the rest of the state not in a growth mode. (OK, I have also seen Dallas described as "LA without the beach"...when I lived there.

Can anyone fail to recognize that any effort to re-elect Donald Trump will be like trying to put out dozens of scattered brush fires?     

If y'all really believe Trump will underperform McCain in Pennsylvania and ignore the obvious weighting errors in both polls (like the PA poll having just 10% independents and a +7 D registration advantage), then sorry, I can't help you

Why would that be strange, Democrats have a big registration advantage in Pennsylvania.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: May 26, 2020, 02:31:34 AM »

538 has net disapproval back in double digits now.

I think this is a strongly bad sign for Trump. If a clear majority disapproves of him, his challenger is pretty inoffensive to most voters and there is no significant 3rd party splitting the vote, it's hard to see him pull it out.
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