For fun: 2012...

[Gustaf]

Counting Bush and Gore states, that would make the EV stands:

Bush: 281

Gore: 259

Not much of a change then. Also, it would be a transfer away from current safe states, with KS, NE, OK, AL, MS, IN losing on the Rep side and MA, ME, CT, NJ losing on the Dem side.

[Gustaf]

RWN, what do the colours represent?

[Gustaf]

The colors are a confidence map.  Dark=string light=lean gray=tossup blue=GOP red=Dem.

So does that mean that you think Texas will be a tossup by 2012? That map looks like a Democratic revolutiuon then.

[Gustaf]

I think that the GOP probably can take TX as well as take MO, MN, IA, WV, GA, NC, FL, and VA but those states won't be guarantied like the Northeast will be or the Dems.

Well, your map has the following stats:

Strong EVs: Dems 210-Reps 28

Lean EVs: Dems 64-Reps 65

Subtotal: Dems 274-Reps 83

That does seem to give the Dems a slight edge, wouldn't you say?