UK Election 2010

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Harry, any chance of you doing a graphical 3-way swingometer that would show what would happen in the event of say a net 4% loss by Lab with the Cons picking up 3% and the LibDems the other 1%, etc.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

With the Lib Dem surge, is there any chance of a noticeable block of UKIP or BNP voters deciding to tactically vote for the Lib Dems in the hopes that a hung parliament leads to proportional voting?  Or are UKIP/BNP supporters obstinate enough to waste votes for them in the general elections in the first place unlikely to vote Lib Dem for tactical reasons?

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

With the Lib Dem surge, is there any chance of a noticeable block of UKIP or BNP voters deciding to tactically vote for the Lib Dems in the hopes that a hung parliament leads to proportional voting?  Or are UKIP/BNP supporters obstinate enough to waste votes for them in the general elections in the first place unlikely to vote Lib Dem for tactical reasons?

People who vote for those parties tend not to... um... think about their vote in such terms.

Considering that the UKIP and BNP (as well as the Greens) have consistently done much better in European elections than in general elections, I think that stating that such voters don't make tactical votes in the general elections is an error.  What is different is that in this general election, such voters would have a reason to make a pro-LD tactical vote instead of the usual pro/anti-Tory/Lab options for a tactical vote.  (Whether that reason might attract such voters is less clear and what I hoped for was a thoughtful answer, not a knee-jerk 'only idiots vote for them' response.  You're usually better than that Al.  At least Meeker and change08 pointed out policy differences that in their opinion would make a tactical vote in hopes of gaining proportional representation unlikely.)

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

How did the process of forming a government go in 1923?  That would seem to have value as precedent if the UK has a well-hung parliament since Labour formed the government after the election despite coming in second in seats.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Any chance that the Queen could ask one of the Crossbenchers in the Lords to form an interim government until the next election if no-one in the Commons can cobble together a government that could survive a confidence vote?  (I realize the chance is exceedingly small, I'm just wondering if it is greater than 0.)

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Interesting leaflet here: http://www.thestraightchoice.org/leaflets/4897/

Fugly design.

Odd choice of target, since I can't see Greens switching to Tory.  Obviously Tory internal polling (or opinion) is that the seat will be up for grabs between themselves and the Greens and they hope to get Labourites who decided to go green this year to go back to Labour or flirt with Gregg and the Lib Dems.  Might work, but I doubt it.  Might even backfire and cause Labourites to vote Green to make certain that the seat doesn't go Tory.

By the way, considering that back in the Southeast Region of Atlasia there was a vote a few years ago on an anti-necromancy initiative, I'm surprised no one here has commented on the fact that Soraya Anne Kara is standing in Brighton Pavillion for Citizens for Undead Rights and Equality.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

So Simon thinks Gordon is a bit pitchy, does he?