How late will I have to stay up to know the next president? (user search)
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  How late will I have to stay up to know the next president? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: How late (EST) will I have to stay up to know the next president?
#1
We'll know before polls even close.		  
#2
7:00 PM - Shortly after GA and IN polls close		  
#3
7:30-8:00 PM - Shortly after NC and OH polls close		  
#4
8-9 PM - Enough time for a critical state (NC/OH/FL) to be called for Clinton		  
#5
9-10 PM - Some time after Colorado polls close		  
#6
After 10 PM - freiwal breach negative confirmation won't arrive until late		  
#7
Whenever PA is called for Trump		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 81

Author Topic: How late will I have to stay up to know the next president?  (Read 1280 times)
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78
« on: October 11, 2016, 01:50:12 AM »
Not when Clinton will get to 270, but when it becomes mathematically impossible for Trump to win given any sane model.  e.g., if Ohio is called for Clinton, it's over.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78
« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2016, 01:53:04 AM »
Quote from: Ronnie on October 11, 2016, 01:52:03 AM
We'll know when we see weak numbers for Trump in early Indiana returns.

Will the press release those before the polls actually close?
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78
« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2016, 08:14:51 AM »
Quote from: Assemblyman Gass3268 on October 11, 2016, 06:48:11 AM
Quote from: Rafe on October 11, 2016, 05:41:18 AM
Early returns from Indiana and Kentucky between 6 and 7 PM EST will indicate whether Trump is under-performing in Republican counties. Early returns from Florida between 7 and 8 PM EST will also be telling. I imagine states like Pennsylvania and Virginia where she is leading will not be called immediately just in case there is some hidden Trump vote, but we should know before 9 PM EST how the two candidates are performing in relation to polling and it will be clear who is going to win unless the race has drastically toghtened.

Problem with VA is that NoVa, especially Fairfax, is really slow to count. It is likely that Trump will have a lead in the state early on in the night.

I'm curious why that is.  It's densely populated and near a global data hub.
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