Idaho ignored? (user search)
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  Idaho ignored? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Idaho ignored?  (Read 10827 times)
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« on: October 10, 2004, 10:12:25 PM »

In recent years, Idaho has become much more high-tech and cosmopolitan.  Boise is the Silicon Valley of the Rockies, with both HP and Micron in town.  Their universities have also been growing.

And we have only one poll (that I know of) out of the state for 2004.

Now, I'm not saying that Kerry has any chance there, but are the days of this state being a GOP lock over?  Could we see Kerry get within 10 points on 11/2?  Could we see a Democrat win the state in the near future?
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2004, 10:19:46 PM »


I think the Idaho result will surprise a lot of people.  55-40, with Bandarik getting 3 and Nader getting 2, would not surprise me, although it would be a shocker to most.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2004, 10:22:10 PM »


10 points???  Al Gore lost by 40!  Idaho is the most hopeless state in American for Democrats.

No, Utah is.

Demographics will pull Idaho left.  It will follow in the footsteps of Nevada and Arizona.  Someday it will become a battleground.  Maybe as early as 2012.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« Reply #3 on: October 10, 2004, 10:27:18 PM »

Nader is not on the ballot in Idaho, BTW.

Maybe something like 57-40-3, then.

I'm allowed one outrageous prediction.  If I'm wrong, no one cares.  If I'm right, I look like a genius on 11/3 Smiley.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2004, 10:46:30 PM »

You didn't read my post very well.

My point was: "high-tech" jobs are not held by Democrats.

Getting Micron does not add Democrats.

That is an issue on this thread.

People with normal degrees and real jobs lean GOP.

Maybe, but the poor working class in Boise, where Micron is located, is moving Democrat. They elected their first Democrat as Mayor in years, and they voted against the incumbant Republican Governor.

It appears your logic is in conflict with the reality of the situation.

I think Boise is the new Boulder, and Idaho is going to start looking a lot more like Colorado in the near future.
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