English mega-local elections, 2021

[joevsimp]

The leader of Reform UK Richard Tice, is his party's candidate in Havering and Redbridge

Is he not running in the Hartlepool By-election on the same day as well, busy bee.

[joevsimp]

According to the BBC Shaun Bailey has flipped Brent and Harrow???

Will we get ward results in the end? Or only constituency?

full ward-by-ward results spreadsheet for all three ballots (and mayoral 2nd Prefs fwtw) should be published on londonelects.org.uk some point in the next week or so. Really good dataset except for the fact that postal votes are only broken down by borough rather than ward, so that distorts whatever you do with the ward data slightly

[joevsimp]

The Tories have picked up Avon & Somerset PCC.  Skimming the results it looks promising for Labour in the WECA mayoral election.  Lots of votes in Bristol.

Heard that the Greens were hoping to potentially unseat Marvin Rees - sounds unlikely but any news?

Bristol counting metro mayor tomorrow morning, city mayor in afternoon and council on Sunday. Looks like they already have numbers of ballots verified so they should get through quickly once they get going.

I'd be thrilled if we managed it but don't think so, might manage to push into second place though and push it close with LibDem second prefs