Hilariously wrong predictions

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I say RealClearPolitics gets the award for terrible predictions. From Monday November 6th, 2000:

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http://web.archive.org/web/20001216085300/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Polls/polls-Electoral_11_06_EC.html

RealClearPolitics = total joke.

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I say RealClearPolitics gets the award for terrible predictions. From Monday November 6th, 2000:

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http://web.archive.org/web/20001216085300/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Polls/polls-Electoral_11_06_EC.html

RealClearPolitics = total joke.

First, you link doesn't work.  Second, the premise that a 2-3% win in the popular vote translates into a 397 EV total is usually correct.

They were predicting Bush winning by 9.3 points instead of Gore winning by 0.5 points. As for the link, yes, sometimes it doesn't work, but if you hit reload a few times, it should load.

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Here's Freepers going wild about this.

http://www.freerepublic.com/forum/a3a0768da11cb.htm

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The best part is that there was only one person of all the comments that actually questioned the validity of RCP's prediction.  I love Free Republic.

Hey, now, that's not true. There was this comment:

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Here's my prediction BTW.
Didn't bother to predict the smaller swing states
PA for Gore
OH for Bush
Figured that it would probably come down to FL, and decided that Gore was slightly favored based upon tracking polls.

Gore ended up doing slightly better in the smaller swing states than I would have guessed. He almost won without FL.