NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT)

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Does anyone know if the early votes are already included in those NYT numbers ?

Early votes aren't separate precincts.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

People talk about suburban voters in Maricopa, but goddamn Bernie might just turbocharge nonvoting Hispanics, if going by these results, in a GE.

Hillary crushed him with Hispanics in 2016 and that didnt translate much to the GE.

I think you're thinking of 2008, not 2016.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I literally just saw an article that more or less said that because Sanders will win, finishing second is more important.

They always tried to ignore Bernie during the campaign, so it's fitting that they ignore him when he landslides.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

ITT: an Israeli and a white dude from Minnesota lecture a mostly-Mexican immigrant rights group in Nevada about what they should call themselves.

https://twitter.com/holosmedia/status/1230374708031492096?s=19
https://twitter.com/holosmedia/status/1230374709705027585?s=19
Also Bernie doesn't use that term so it makes no sense that anyone who supports him does.

I wonder why the term Anglx hasn't caught on.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

If Bernie comes out of this having blocked anyone else from even getting delegates, what does it even mean for South Carolina? Does it give him a running chance of actually winning there and ending Biden for good?

Biden probably gets some delegates.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Well, these results are pretty slow.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

This is almost as slow as Iowa.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Surely someone could have quickly come up with a system using Google spreadsheets that works better than this?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Does she not know that Bernie lobbied for toxic nuclear waste to be dumped in a poor Hispanic community?

Wow, that's a big story if true. Where can I read about that?

Take of it what you will. The story is real, the interpretation is up for grabs.

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/2/15/1485659/--What-About-Sierra-Blanca-Bernie-Poor-Latino-Community-Needed-You-Where-Was-Their-Revolution

Why won't Hispanics buy our stupid 4 year old smear?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

CNN hasn't gotten any new votes in like an hour. Stuck at 10%. AP is slowly increasing, now at 4.3%. Just pathetic.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Sanders will get 34-35 % in the end when all is said and done regarding Nevada. That's HUGE. He has gone from 26 % in IA & NH into the Mid 30ties.

The Biden Campaign celebrating a 2nd Place which isn't confirmed is amusing!

Did Pete already claim "victory" for getting 2nd place?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Sanders will get 34-35 % in the end when all is said and done regarding Nevada. That's HUGE. He has gone from 26 % in IA & NH into the Mid 30ties.

The Biden Campaign celebrating a 2nd Place which isn't confirmed is amusing!

Did Pete already claim "victory" for getting 2nd place?

Is this a joke? Is anyone actually saying this? Buttigieg is at 4th on the NYT tracker; does someone have better data?

Not a joke question. The Pete campaign had some partial results with them in 2nd, so they might actually be brazen enough to try claiming this.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Looks like a lot of Steyer voters are from the heavily black precincts. Steyer wants Bernie to love him but his supporters seem more like the Biden type.. wonder where they'll go since he'll probably drop out in a week or two

2nd choice of Steyer voters if he’s not viable in their precinct:
Sanders 39%
Biden 19%

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

AP accidentally gave Warren 206k votes in the first round. Oof.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

With 43% in, Warren has 9.48%. Looks like no delegates for her. Pete is right near the threshold for statewide viability at 15.14%.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

No new results update since early this morning. What the f**k is happening.

Either they didn't want Iowa to feel bad or Pete had it shut down.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Interesting, based on Green Papers it looks like Biden isn't that far off from tying Sanders for delegates in NV-04.

And Bernie isn't that far off from getting another PLEO delegate from Biden. There are definitely a number of delegates that can't be called yet.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Delegates

District 1: 3 safe Bernie, 1 leading Bernie, 1 safe Biden
District 2: 4 safe Bernie, 2 safe Pete
District 3: 3 safe Bernie, 1 safe Biden, 1 safe Pete, 1 leading Biden (Pete might get)
District 4: 3 safe Bernie, 2 safe Biden, 1 leading Bernie
PLEO: 3 safe Bernie, 1 safe Biden, 1 leading Biden (Pete or Bernie could get)
AL: 4 safe Bernie, 2 safe Biden, 2 leading Bernie (Pete could get one or both, Biden could get 1)

Total:
20 safe Bernie
4 leading Bernie

7 safe Biden
2 leading Biden

3 safe Pete

Note this was based upon 72% reporting numbers

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

So I'm guessing this confirms that the delegate split is:

Sanders - 24
Biden - 9
Buttigieg - 3

Right, although the current split for pledged statewide PLEOs Sanders 3.49 -> 3, Biden 1.51 -> 2. I'm not an expert on the Nevada rules, but that seems like the kind of margin where Sanders could ask for a recount. There are several delegates decided narrowly, but that one is the closest.

I would imagine, Xing, that the 4 delegates the networks have up in the air come from some of the current narrow margins.

I don't think that's close enough that they would go for a recount.