NYT LIVE POLL THREAD:

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

LOL at how there's not even a 2% response rate.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Paulsen has pulled into the lead, with the help of the one and only 18-29 year old respondent, who is voting Republican. #GENZISGENGOP

How can we best extrapolate this sample of 1 to those under 18 for future elections? We must analyze this to death.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Amazing how 5 of their 6 completed polls are within a point.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

All completed polls so far:


IA-01: D+14
CO-06: D+11
CA-49: D+10
MN-03: D+9
MN-08: D+1
KS-02: D+1
NM-02: D+1
CA-48: D+<1
KY-06: R+<1
IL-06: R+1
IL-12: R+1
NJ-07: R+1
CA-25: R+2
FL-26: R+3
TX-07: R+3
VA-07: R+4
ME-02: R+5
WI-01: R+6
TX-23: R+7
WV-03: R+8


So far, by my amazing statistical prediction model that exclusively uses NYT/Siena polls, dems have gained 8 house seats.

Dems are doing the worst of any poll in rural "WWC" #populist WV-03 even with Unbeatable Titan Richard Ojeda? How is this possible?!

And Unbeatable Titan Iron Deadbeat Jailbird is doing the third worst?! HOW?! HE'S SO #POPULIST . And he's clearly far more likely to win than Weak Candidate Donna Shalala™!

Bryce isn't a good candidate and WV-03 is R+23.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Those Senate numbers are not good for the Democrats.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

TN and TX were obviously fool's gold for the Democrats.