Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET)

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I wonder if the news orgs will report the Nevada caucus? They all seem preoccupied with the coverage of Justice Scalia's funeral

For some reason, the Nevada caucuses always seem to be given less coverage than Iowa, New Hampshire, or South Carolina.

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I just convinced three black guys in Nevada on Hornet to go caucus for Hillary. They didn't know about it and weren't planning to vote.

I hope she wins by three votes.

Huge FF!

YUGE FF.

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So, will we not have an entrance poll until 3?

YUUUP

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i'm guessing this is going to start with a Clinton lead, and then Sanders will narrow the margin as the counting goes on.

Basically Iowa redux, then.

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My understanding from 2008 is that Vegas alone has like over 70% of the delegates, with Reno being another 15%.

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A strong Hillary showing in Vegas will counterbalance a strong Sanders showing in Reno just saying.

Vegas has three times the population of Reno.

Isn't that the problem with caucuses?  Like suppose Reno has 2x the turnout it normally has, while Vegas has average turnout.  Vegas will still award 3X the delegates of Reno despite how many people actually caucused.

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"Reports from field: 400 in line at Green Valley HS.  300 in line at Cheyenne HS. People getting frustrated, leaving. Big Bernie presence."

This is Reno?

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10 minutes left.  For real this time.

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How accurate is this "entrance" poll going to be, considering that it seems like most voters aren't in the doors yet? lol

Entrance and exit polls are often quite off, and end up being modified as the night progresses.

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How accurate is this "entrance" poll going to be, considering that it seems like most voters aren't in the doors yet? lol

Not really accurate. In IA it was off by about 6-8%.

Also keep in mind, these entrance polls are just the # of people voting, and don't directly translate into the delegate totals reported.

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It doesn't seem that CNN has a poll.

Wait, what?

Are we just not getting an entrance poll then?

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Looks like Hilldawg will win Nevada

I wouldn't call it so soon.  The Iowa exit poll was pretty off.

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Whites: 48-48 Clinton/Sanders
Non-White: 52-47 Clinton

WTF?

CNN/ORC poll confirmed???

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I mean, if Clinton's winning blacks by a large margin, the must mean that Sanders is doing better with Hispanics than with whites.

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This is such a disaster.

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Apparently 2/3rds are 45 and older.

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Clark County is 51-47 Clinton, apparently.

Source?

http://www.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/NV/Dem

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Angry old ladies turning out in force, says CNN.  2/3rds over 45.

Wait, is this the revenge of TNVolunteer's angry women?

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CNN saying that Sanders is winning latinos by 11 points.

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Yep, it looks like Sanders is ahead in the exit poll by like 2 points now.

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Why in God's name are you people paying attention to entrance polls. They making general election exit polling look like the gold standard.

Because the alternative is paying attention to inane reports about how many Clinton or Sanders people are in line.

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Clinton narrowly winning both Washoe (contains Reno) and Clark (contains Vegas).  A little over 20% in in each.

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Clark County 50-50 so far is not looking good for Clinton.

Washoe is also 50-50, and it was supposed to be a big Sanders win.

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DDHQ has it 587-578 Clinton

Link please?

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CNN is awfully slow to report this time around.

The website layout is terrible too.  New York times is much better, imo.