With Sununu out, I'd move this race from Likely R to Lean R. Most Republican candidates should beat Hassan in this climate, and it would take a spectacular recruiting fail for her to win.
The NHGOP isn't like other Northeastern state parties that are generally able to come up with someone reasonably in tune with the state's overall culture for gubernatorial and senatorial runs. Spectacular recruiting fails resulting in candidates way too conservative for the state's general electorate are a common occurrence in the Granite State.
