KY, MS etc. Results Thread

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Bevin is underperforming in Boone.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Gun to my head, Bevin by 2. Fingers crossed that I'm wrong.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Beshear comfortably ahead in Kenton and Campbell with 66/106 and 51/67 in.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Am I really the only one who thinks Beshear is favored? For Christ's sake, he is outperforming Bevin by 5-6 in eastern KY.

Considering the margin in Bevin's favor seems to be growing, and the current dearth in these urban areas...yes.

Almost nothing is in from the urban areas.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Revising my gun-to-my-head prediction from Bevin+2 to Beshear+1.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

ANDY BESHEAR WINS ELLIOT COUNTY BY 20 POINTS

MASSIVE FREEDOM COUNTY

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

French Republican and Election Guy and Icespear were so sure Bevin was gonna win

Gotta admit, I was too  

(So was I)

Me four.

^

I was convinced IceSpear et al were descriptively right, even if they were normatively wrong.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Beautiful to see those eastern KY counties coming home one last time to defeat this Randian villain.

Big The Two Towers energy

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Bandit reminds me of that minor character from Anne of Avonlea who predicted a hundred-year thunderstorm on and off for decades, and earned a reputation as a weather prophet when one finally happened.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Guys, it's 97% in on CNN, with Jefferson at 96%, and Beshear still has a 0.7% lead. At worst this falls into recount margin. Relax.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Guys, it's 97% in on CNN, with Jefferson at 96%, and Beshear still has a 0.7% lead. At worst this falls into recount margin. Relax.

When have I heard this before?

I don't know, when have you? Literally a greater percentage of Jefferson is still out than of the rest of the state.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Guys, it's 97% in on CNN, with Jefferson at 96%, and Beshear still has a 0.7% lead. At worst this falls into recount margin. Relax.

When have I heard this before?

I don't know, when have you? Literally a greater percentage of Jefferson is still out than of the rest of the state.

Beshear is going to win, but there are Republican leaning parts of Jefferson County that they could theoretically be.  Not that Bevin has enough votes regardless.

The rest of Jefferson just dropped on CNN and Beshear is back up to 0.8% with 99% in.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Ballard. Lead at 6k.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

NBC calls it for Beshear.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Did Beshear underperform in Kenton and Campbell or are those narrow victories good results for him?

Relative to the past, Beshear BTFOed Bevin in Kenton and Campbell. This is ancestrally Republican suburbia. Bevin 2015 and Trump both won them by double digits.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Bevin's not conceding. He's alluded to "discrepancies" and "irregularities". ok gen xer.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Whereabouts are IceSpear/TrendsAreReal/etc? Guess trends aren't real anymore, huh?

I mean, mocking the prediction that KY was safe R is of course fair game, but the trends WERE real in this race. Beshear won by about the same margin as he did in 2015 but with far more urban/suburban support and far less rural support.

Loving the new display name. I appreciate that you can roll with the punches.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Is the area radiating outwards from Pulaski County ancestrally Republican in the same way as/for the same reasons as neighboring East Tennessee?

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Bevin's refusing to concede and wants to pull some power moves to throw the election to the state senate.

...uh...will he be able to?

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Bevin's refusing to concede and wants to pull some power moves to throw the election to the state senate.

...uh...will he be able to?

I still want an answer to this. Is there any actual legal/constitutional recourse that Bevin can take advantage of or is he just posturing to create questions about Beshear's legitimacy?

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Wow, Beshear has been elected? What's the chance for a recount?

Bevin can ask for one if he wants to, and he almost certainly will, but it won't happen automatically, and whatever judge he asks isn't legally obliged to grant it.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

What happened in NJ?

Really bad Democratic underperformance, especially in South Jersey. Jeff Van Drew's old State Senate seat went to a Republican, along with a few Assembly seats.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Are y'all seriously gonna argue that Amazon was dumping truck loads of cash into Orion's campaign out of principled commitments to good government or something?

Easy with the strawmanning.

What I personally say is that from all the Amazon targeted councilors only Sawant came close to losing. And that's because she is a jerk and a purity troll.

And voters decided that they'd rather have a jerk and a purity troll than someone who's bought by a dystopian megacorporation. Shocking, I know.

Not shocking at all.
Staten Island voters voted for Mike Grimm.
Almost half of Alabama voters voted for a pedophile.
Depending on the constituency, being an extremist asshole can be your ticket to electoral success more often than not. 

Furthering the Bezos zaibatsu's influence over the American economy in general and Seattle's local economy in particular is an extreme-right political project; this just isn't immediately obvious because it's not presented with the political tone or style that we normally associate with the extreme right. Thus, both candidates in this particular race were extremist assholes.