1. In the Likely D seats, what's kind of funny is that Giffords has not run that great of a campaign and Kolbe's indiscretions have actually helped Graf a bit. No one's funding here, but I wouldn't be surprised if the race enters in under a 10% margin. The only reason why TX-22 is lower than AZ-08 is because the NRCC has pumped in by my count nearly 3/4 of a million dollars into this race over the last week and there is a very large Bush fundraiser occurring later this week for Gibbs.
Early voting turnout in Fort Bend County (1st 4 days) up 79% over 2002. Galveston County up 60%.
The Secretary of State reports early voting for the 15 most populous counties. In 2002, it appears that at least some counties had early voting on the initial weekend as well, so in come cases, this compares 4 days with 6 days.
Big Counties:
Harris (-4%), Dallas (-1%), Tarrant (-8%)
Congressional races, State senate, house race or two.
Bexar (+24%)
Possibly Strayhorn and Friedman don't have GOTV operations?
Travis (-22%)
Suburban growth areas.
Collin (+14%), Denton (+16%), Montgomery (+10%), Williamson (+10%)
Two house races.
Nueces (+10%)
No Tony Sanchez on ballot.
El Paso (-19%), Hidalgo (-42%)
Cameron County replaced Jefferson County in 15-county index.
