Count 16
Kelly (FG) elected
Wallace (I4C) 101,725
O'Sullivan (Green) 93,123
Kelleher (FF) 92,885
Ní Riada (SF) 91,839
Clune (FG) 89,743
Byrne (FF) 80,623 eliminated
... which means I'm changing my guess to O'Sullivan getting an immediate seat and Clune getting the Brexit-conditional one.
Are they counting using a quota based on 4 because they didn't anticipate the UK still being in, and it was too hard to change it?
Order of election does not necessarily match who would be elected if they used a larger quota to begin with.
