How likely is a complete GOP shutout? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 10, 2024, 01:51:43 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  How likely is a complete GOP shutout? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: How likely is a complete GOP shutout?
#1
almost no chance
 
#2
little chance
 
#3
a bit less than 50/50
 
#4
50/50
 
#5
a bit more than 50/50
 
#6
very likely
 
#7
almost certainly
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 43

Author Topic: How likely is a complete GOP shutout?  (Read 3742 times)
Smash255
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,463


« on: September 05, 2006, 04:03:55 PM »

40%
Logged
Smash255
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,463


« Reply #1 on: September 05, 2006, 05:28:48 PM »

Little chance--I will personally see to it that DeVos wins MI!

Are you even old enough to vote?

Anyway

I think there will be a significant swing against the Reps... the issue is whether it will be in the right places.

I give the Dems at least +3 in the Senate... as much as +5 in the BC scenario. And the Dems picking up 10-15 house seats.

This won't be 1994 again... but it won't be a nice night for the Reps... saving some convenient development.

As for the Governorships. OH and PA are out (it's serious wishful thinking to try to see it) WI is a chance, I think MI will stay w/Granholm by a VERY tight margin (less than 2%).

It will be pretty nice if they keep the House and Senate as you seem to be predicting. Best case in the Senate would be 6-7, although I think it will more likely be 3-5 seats. I don't think 20 to 25 seats is out of the question for the House.

Wow, you really think the Dems have a shot at more than 5 seats?  That would be near impossible.  W/Kean winning, the Dems best chance is netting about 1-3 seats, if Steele wins there's a chance it could be +1 or cancelling each other out.

I'm not expecting Kean or Steele to win.

If Mfume wins the primary, which looks like it could happen, there is about a 90% chance of them wins, and given the house and govenors race, I'm putting the GOP being shut out at .1%

Best case scenario GOP, hold all seats and gain NJ and MD +2, more realistic is plus +1 or 0

Not sure what is more moronic thinking Steele has a 90% chance of beating Mufme, thinking Kean is almost certain on defeating Menendez, or the most realistic Scenario is the GOP incrasing their majority in the Sentate....
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 11 queries.