What has happened to the GOP in New York state

[Smash255]

To those who thought that some of the wins the GOP had last year in some local races may help them in the future statewide.  Well this kind of crap won't help....

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[Smash255]

Like the rest of the country, the party went too far right and the GOP lost suburbia.  Suburban voters used to carry states like NJ, IL, PA, NH, and even OR/WA and CA.

Once the suburban vote was lost, it was all over for the GOP in NY.

The GOP used to own Long Island, but not anymore.  The typical democratic win was around 52-47% every year, but since 1992, forget about it.

You're right, Long Island used to be a Republican bastion. Reagan carried New York twice, and Bush Sr. made the state close, because counties like Westchester, Nassau, Richmond, and Suffolk voted Republican with such large margins. Since the Bush Jr. years, the Republicans have lost tremendous ground in the state and in those areas in particular, but if last November was an indicator, I do think the tide will continue to turn in the Republicans' favor this fall. They have a shot a picking up Congressional seats, and retaking the state senate. They just need to recruit a solid statewide ticket for all those political races up in November.

LOL, A low turnout off year election doesn't mean things will automatically be the same the following year.  Though it looks like they will be rescinded the anger at the GOP pay raise vote  is not a good way to start off your hold in the majority.  Not to mention you think the  GOP will pick up NY-04 of all seats, that right there should disqualify you from making any comments on the GOP's chances in NY.

[Smash255]

Like the rest of the country, the party went too far right and the GOP lost suburbia.  Suburban voters used to carry states like NJ, IL, PA, NH, and even OR/WA and CA.

Once the suburban vote was lost, it was all over for the GOP in NY.

The GOP used to own Long Island, but not anymore.  The typical democratic win was around 52-47% every year, but since 1992, forget about it.

You're right, Long Island used to be a Republican bastion. Reagan carried New York twice, and Bush Sr. made the state close, because counties like Westchester, Nassau, Richmond, and Suffolk voted Republican with such large margins. Since the Bush Jr. years, the Republicans have lost tremendous ground in the state and in those areas in particular, but if last November was an indicator, I do think the tide will continue to turn in the Republicans' favor this fall. They have a shot a picking up Congressional seats, and retaking the state senate. They just need to recruit a solid statewide ticket for all those political races up in November.

LOL, A low turnout off year election doesn't mean things will automatically be the same the following year.  Though it looks like they will be rescinded the anger at the GOP pay raise vote  is not a good way to start off your hold in the majority.  Not to mention you think the  GOP will pick up NY-04 of all seats, that right there should disqualify you from making any comments on the GOP's chances in NY.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York's_4th_congressional_district
It is possible for her to lose her seat so stop making it seem as though it is a crazy idea. It's not as if I am saying Ackerman or Maloney's seat can be picked up.

I'm making it seem like a crazy idea BECAUSE IT IS A CRAZY IDEA.  Is the district as Democratic as Ackerman or Maloney's seats?  No.  Is it a strongly Democratic district?  Yes.  Districts that Obama won by 17 points aren't going to suddenly become competitive because you say so.   Hell, only three districts that are represented by a Republican went stronger for Obama than NY-04 did, and they are all likely gone this year (IL-10,DE-AL & LA-02).  This isn't a marginal or slightly Dem district.  Its pretty solid Dem.   On top of that McCarthy is a well entrenched, popular incumbent in her 7th term and the GOP has nothing in the district as far as a bench.  Scatturo isn't going to do anything, come on.  The GOP has what in this district?